The Guardian Broadcast

"Providing Concealed Carry & Armed Self-Defense Wisdom."

A podcast by Patrick Kilchermann, founder of the Concealed Carry University.


"Predictability – The Root of The Guardian’s Demise"


Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety. - Benjamin Franklin. Is privacy an essential liberty? It most certainly is.

The Guardian BroadcastPatrick Kilchermann
00:00 / 01:04

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This week, I have a short but important message, and it centers around the importance of privacy. You see, the biggest lesson I’ve learned regarding human competition and conflict is that being predictable to your adversary is your absolute most fatal mistake. Conversely, being unpredictable to your adversary is your absolute greatest advantage. 


Humans fear the unpredictable, because we can’t plan for it, and we can’t preempt it. No matter how far the prepper goes into stockpiling, he is still most afraid of – and rightfully so – the things he still hasn’t even considered. 


Now, I could go to great lengths explaining why the unpredictable is so frightening to us, but I’ve done that with various broadcasts over the last year and a half, especially my 3-part series on OODA Loops, Combat Initiative, and Combat Momentum. 


For now, it’s enough to say: being predictable is a recipe for being selected as a victim, and it’s a recipe for losing a fight. 


That said, predictability destroys us at every level. 


It causes us to be selected as victims when we make our bank deposits at the same time of the day on the same day of the week, all year long. 


It causes us to be overwhelmed during an attack when, before we can land a punch, we see that our opponent knew what we were going to do and had already shifted weight and is now moving out of range as our momentum carries us forward, into a perfect set up for his next move. 


And in this way, it causes us to ultimately lose fights, whether they involve hands or knives or guns. That’s why the ‘perfect self-defense formula’ as I describe and teach it in the Complete Guide and in many broadcasts here revolves around combining unpredictable actions with overwhelming force. 


Unpredictability is an immensely deep topic. You see, unpredictability isn’t only relevant in one on one fighting. I have no doubt that someday I will prepare a thesis on this topic that could change firearm design… vehicle design, interview patterns, or even the way comedians engineer their bits. It could change the way food is paired and prepared. The way police handle suspects, and the way a company attacks an objective. Unpredictability is everything. And yet, it is by no means only relevant in the fast-action, real-time dynamic of human-to-human interaction and conflict. 


You see, unpredictability is perhaps most important on the grandest scale, where enormous businesses duke it out with 5-year product life cycles, or where countries are waging war against each other with massive 30-day operational plans. 


And here’s the lesson for today. All Guardians must learn to accept that forcing and enforcing a basic level of Privacy into their mundane, day-to-day lives is one of the most important ways that we can incorporate a winning-level of Operational Security into our existences. 


What do I mean by Privacy… ?


Well, it could be ultra-practical things that a common criminal or enemy or rapist could use to plan an effective attack. When you go to bed. When you go into work. When you’ll be alone. What the inside of your house looks like. And on and on. 


But I’m also speaking about a much larger-scale problem, relating to a more organized form of violence against human beings, which throughout history has been more common than our relatively short time of peace and freedom has been.


I’m referring to cultural or governmental persecution. 


We must not share unnecessary details about our home life with the world through applications such as Facebook. Our family life. The way we raise our kids. Our business practices. Our tax strategies. Most importantly for the love of God, our plans. Our plans for the day, our plans for our lives. Every bit of information that we share with the world should be seen as the equivalent of ‘talking to the police’ following a deadly encounter, where anything you say or share can and will be used against you. 


Because as Guardians, our way of life and our value systems are increasingly running contrary to the direction that the prevailing culture of this country is heading in. And if it continues on its current trajectory, the end-point isn’t good. At some point, living the way many of us live, and thinking the way many of us think, is simply going to be incompatible with the way of life deemed acceptable by the culture-police.


I do not have a Facebook account for this very reason. And I have not created one for the Concealed Carry University for the same reason. In fact, other than a LinkedIn account, I’ve completely avoided and will completely avoid all forms of “social media” for this reason. Because ultimately, who does it benefit when you type in the permanently archived, written word, that you just bought 1,000 rounds of ammunition? Or that you are fearful over government oversteps? Or who you voted for, and why? 


It doesn’t help you at all. Ultimately, it can only help those desiring to build a case against you. I’ve seen people post things or send messages through cell phones that are, single-handedly, enough to warrant a trip to the insane asylum. And it only takes ONE of these instances of having been involuntarily committed to cause you to lose your firearms rights for life. 


Even as simple as sending someone you’re angry with a message that says “what comes around, goes around”. That’s enough, right there. And now, that message is sitting on a server, just waiting to be pulled up in case you are ever investigated. ARE YOU a dangerous person? Well, here are 4 text messages sent over the course of 8 years that seem to suggest that you are. Are you a racist bigot? Well, here are three jokes when, taken out of context, seem to indicate that you are. Are you a danger to society who should be locked up? A bad parent who once took a photo of his child doing something dangerous, who now deserves to have Child Protective Services step in? 


For nearly all people in modern America, self-incrimination has become a daily habit. For some people, an hourly habit. 


How will it be, in 30 years, when hackers release every line ever punched into Facebook by all the candidates running for president? How will it be when you are in court, having your word pitted against a violent criminal’s [word] following a shooting, remembering all the bravado and trigger-happy sounding messages you sent your friends for fun? Are they about to be introduced as evidence? 


And this doesn’t even speak to the possibility of massive government persecution and imprisonment or murder of political prisoners. If you’ve ever studied Russian history during the early communist era, you have learned about the deep, deep efforts that the government would go through to find evidence for ONE instance of one seemingly insignificant individual – a housewife, for example – bad mouthing the government. You see, most governments aren’t comfortable with outright murder – they conduct these purges and genocides to the letter of the law. And even back in the 1920s when virtually NOTHING was written down or recorded, the communists had an easy time passing death sentences onto anybody who they set out to prove was a danger to the government and citizens. Imagine if this took place now, with the mountains of digital evidence we’ve all incriminated ourselves with. 


Because remember: To be incriminated, or to be a criminal, is a relative and subjective term. Laws change, and quickly. What you said 4 years ago may have been protected by freedom of speech, but 4 years from now, it may be a hate crime. Did the Russians grant a statute of limitations to treasonous speech that took place before they rose to power? Am I being paranoid? Too bad we couldn’t ask the 30 million people buried in Russian soil without headstones.